Milsami 0-1 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.82
Over 2.5
59%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.76
No
36%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.6pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.2pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
51%
-10.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
49%
+10.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
53%
+10.8pp
36%
BTTS No
47%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 53%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zimbru
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2026 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
18.04.2026 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
07.03.2026 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
05.10.2025 Milsami Milsami 0-3 HT 0-3 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
10.08.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 2-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
21.06.2025 Milsami Milsami 3-0 HT 2-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
0-1
AWAY Zimbru
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru squeezed past Milsami 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milsami had 56% of the ball to Zimbru's 44%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Milsami and 1.67 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Zimbru?

Milsami 0-1 Zimbru in the Moldova - Cup on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Milsami 22%, draw 34%, Zimbru 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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13 May 2026
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