Milsami 0-3 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 45%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.45/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.92
+23% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +57%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Zimbru
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 2-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
21.06.2025 Milsami Milsami 3-0 HT 2-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
19.04.2025 Milsami Milsami 2-0 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
08.03.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
06.10.2024 Milsami Milsami 3-1 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
11.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 4-1 HT 2-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
0-3
AWAY Zimbru
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru cruised past Milsami 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Milsami had 55% of the ball to Zimbru's 45%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Milsami and 1.33 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Zimbru?

Milsami 0-3 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Milsami 34%, draw 22%, Zimbru 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
5 Oct 2025
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