Milsami 2-0 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.7
No
60%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
55%
-14.8pp
60%
BTTS No
45%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.89/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.34
-42% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zimbru
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
06.10.2024 Milsami Milsami 3-1 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
11.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 4-1 HT 2-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
21.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
03.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-0 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
10.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
2-0
AWAY Zimbru
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami saw off Zimbru 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Milsami had 47% of the ball to Zimbru's 53%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Milsami and 2.00 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Zimbru?

Milsami 2-0 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Milsami 42%, draw 29%, Zimbru 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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