FC Sheriff 4-0 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.2pp
19%
Draw
12%
+7.7pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.8pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 8%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.22/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.90
-26% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
505 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 3-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
21.10.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
13.08.2023 Sparta Selemet 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
4-0
AWAY Sparta Selemet
64% Ball Possession 36%
32 Total Shots 2
17 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff ran out comfortable winners over Sparta Selemet 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 64% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 36%, shots finished 32-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.00 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet?

FC Sheriff 4-0 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 68%, draw 19%, Sparta Selemet 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
19 Apr 2025
17:00 Milsami vs Zimbru Analysis →
19:00 CSF Balti vs Petrocub Analysis →