Milsami 3-1 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.63/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.43
-7% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zimbru
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 4-1 HT 2-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
21.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
03.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-0 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
10.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
03.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
07.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
3-1
AWAY Zimbru
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami beat Zimbru 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milsami had 59% of the ball to Zimbru's 41%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Milsami and 2.00 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Zimbru?

Milsami 3-1 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Milsami 46%, draw 28%, Zimbru 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
6 Oct 2024
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