Zimbru 3-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.05/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.41
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Milsami
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-0 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
10.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
03.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
07.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
06.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
30.04.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
3-1
AWAY Milsami
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru beat Milsami 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Zimbru made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbru had 41% of the ball to Milsami's 59%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zimbru and 0.67 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Milsami?

Zimbru 3-1 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 38%, draw 31%, Milsami 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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