Zimbru 4-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.8pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.07/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.72
+91% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Milsami
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
03.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-0 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
10.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
03.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
07.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
06.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
4-1
AWAY Milsami
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru swept aside Milsami 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Zimbru found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbru had 33% of the ball to Milsami's 67%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zimbru and 0.67 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Milsami?

Zimbru 4-1 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 38%, draw 28%, Milsami 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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