Zimbru 1-2 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.89/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.12
+58% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Milsami
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Milsami Milsami 3-1 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
11.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 4-1 HT 2-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
21.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
03.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-0 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
10.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
03.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
1-2
AWAY Milsami
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami squeezed past Zimbru 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zimbru at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zimbru had 48% of the ball to Milsami's 52%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zimbru and 1.00 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Milsami?

Zimbru 1-2 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 44%, draw 26%, Milsami 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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