Dacia-Buiucani 0-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.18
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
79%
-6.5pp
16%
Draw
12%
+3.6pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dacia-Buiucani EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
3.81/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/3.51
+42% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -35%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Sparta Selemet 0-1 HT 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
21.06.2025 Dacia-Buiucani 5-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
26.08.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-4 HT 1-2 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
0-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
72% Ball Possession 28%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dacia-Buiucani vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Selemet nicked a narrow win over Dacia-Buiucani 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Dacia-Buiucani carried 73% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dacia-Buiucani had 72% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 28%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dacia-Buiucani had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Dacia-Buiucani and 0.67 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Dacia-Buiucani vs Sparta Selemet?

Dacia-Buiucani 0-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dacia-Buiucani vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dacia-Buiucani win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Dacia-Buiucani 73%, draw 16%, Sparta Selemet 11%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dacia-Buiucani) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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