Masr 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.83
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
6.58
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.0pp
37%
Draw
33%
+3.8pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.65/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.32
+1% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
11.7 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.89 xG 0.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
297 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2026 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
12.03.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-3 HT 0-2 Masr MSR
23.02.2025 Masr 2-0 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
3-2
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.93 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
234 Passes 265
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
5 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr edged past Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 37% / 34% — and on the day Masr made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Masr had 45% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 55%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.93 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Masr and 0.00 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Masr 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Masr 29%, draw 37%, Ghazl El Mehalla 34%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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