Al Raed 5-1 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 13 May 2026

Al Raed
5-1 HT 3-1
Abha
📅13/05/2026 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 27%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.98
-43% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Abha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 0.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 361
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2026 Abha Abha 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD1
29.12.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 4-3 HT 1-2 Abha Abha SUUD
19.08.2023 Abha Abha 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
10.02.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 3-1 HT 1-1 Abha Abha SUUD
27.08.2022 Abha Abha 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.06.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed ran out comfortable winners over Abha 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Raed as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Raed and 1.50 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Abha?

Al Raed 5-1 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 50%, draw 21%, Abha 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Raed), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Raed) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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