Dundalk 1-1 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Jun 2025

Dundalk
1-1 HT 1-1
Univ College Dublin
📅13/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2025

Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 32% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundalk v Univ College Dublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.60/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.16
-16% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +55%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 0.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 Passes 152
75% Pass Accuracy 57%
21 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.04.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
03.11.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-5 HT 1-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
01.05.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
17.02.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
09.09.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
01.07.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 3-0 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL

Dundalk 1-1 Univ College Dublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
1-1
AWAY Univ College Dublin
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk and Univ College Dublin shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Dundalk had 57% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dundalk and 0.83 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin?

Dundalk 1-1 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 48%, draw 28%, Univ College Dublin 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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