Univ College Dublin 0-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
20.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 35% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.7pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.47/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.02
-62% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
210 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dundalk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.69 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
167 Passes 361
59% Pass Accuracy 74%
7 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-5 HT 1-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
01.05.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
17.02.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
09.09.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
01.07.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 3-0 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
06.05.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
0-1
AWAY Dundalk
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk edged past Univ College Dublin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 53% of the ball to Dundalk's 47%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Univ College Dublin and 2.50 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Dundalk?

Univ College Dublin 0-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 26%, draw 32%, Dundalk 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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