Treaty United 3-0 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.11
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 34% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.34/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.15
-10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kerry
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
03.06.2024 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
12.04.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
01.03.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
25.08.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
07.07.2023 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-2 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
3-0
AWAY Kerry
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United swept aside Kerry 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Treaty United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Treaty United had 49% of the ball to Kerry's 51%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Treaty United and 1.00 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Kerry?

Treaty United 3-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 46%, draw 27%, Kerry 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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