Treaty United 0-0 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
12%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.4pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+34% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Kerry
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
25.08.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
07.07.2023 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-2 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
28.04.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 4-0 HT 3-0 Kerry İR1
03.03.2023 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
0-0
AWAY Kerry
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United and Kerry fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Treaty United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Treaty United had 43% of the ball to Kerry's 57%, shots finished 14-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Treaty United and 0.80 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Kerry?

Treaty United 0-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 43%, draw 21%, Kerry 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Treaty United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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