Athlone Town 1-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.05
6+ Goals
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
2.09/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.39
+74% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
14.10.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
07.08.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 4-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.05.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-4 HT 0-2 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.02.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
17.08.2018 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
1-0
AWAY Finn Harps
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town edged past Finn Harps 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Athlone Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Athlone Town had 45% of the ball to Finn Harps's 55%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Athlone Town and 2.00 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Athlone Town 1-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 33%, draw 28%, Finn Harps 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finn Harps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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