Finn Harps 2-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

Finn Harps
2-0 HT 2-0
Athlone Town
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Finn Harps vs Athlone Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 26% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Finn Harps v Athlone Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.72/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.37
-42% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Finn Harps vs Athlone Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
07.08.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 4-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.05.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-4 HT 0-2 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.02.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
17.08.2018 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.06.2018 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps got the better of Athlone Town 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Finn Harps found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Finn Harps and 2.17 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?

Finn Harps 2-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 33%, draw 28%, Athlone Town 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Athlone Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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