Cork City 1-0 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
2.31/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.67
+15% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 254
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-2 HT 0-2 Cork City Cork City İRL
11.08.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
14.04.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
03.03.2023 Cork City Cork City 4-0 HT 2-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
15.10.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
30.07.2021 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
1-0
AWAY Univ College Dublin
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City edged past Univ College Dublin 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cork City had 46% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 54%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cork City and 0.67 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Univ College Dublin?

Cork City 1-0 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cork City 52%, draw 24%, Univ College Dublin 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ BTTS No
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