Kerry 2-1 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.59
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 40% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.7pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +12%
1.99/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.76
+58% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +75%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Treaty United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
01.03.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
25.08.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
07.07.2023 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-2 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
28.04.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 4-0 HT 3-0 Kerry İR1
03.03.2023 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerry
2-1
AWAY Treaty United
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry nicked a narrow win over Treaty United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and on the day Kerry made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerry had 61% of the ball to Treaty United's 39%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kerry and 2.00 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Treaty United?

Kerry 2-1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kerry 36%, draw 34%, Treaty United 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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