Wexford Youths 2-2 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 35% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.45/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.61
-20% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
16.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
25.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.07.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
19.05.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-3 HT 0-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths and Longford Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wexford Youths and 1.50 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Longford Town?

Wexford Youths 2-2 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 50%, draw 24%, Longford Town 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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