Finn Harps 1-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
0.80/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.50
-39% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
14.10.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
07.08.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 4-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.05.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-4 HT 0-2 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.02.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Athlone Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Finn Harps and 2.17 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?

Finn Harps 1-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 35%, draw 32%, Athlone Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Finn Harps), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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