Longford Town 1-2 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

Longford Town
1-2 HT 0-2
Wexford Youths
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Longford Town vs Wexford Youths Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Longford Town v Wexford Youths — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.94/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.39
-24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Longford Town vs Wexford Youths Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
25.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.07.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
19.05.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-3 HT 0-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
20.08.2022 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1

Longford Town 1-2 Wexford Youths — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
1-2
AWAY Wexford Youths
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths nicked a narrow win over Longford Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wexford Youths as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Longford Town had 50% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 50%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Longford Town and 1.17 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Wexford Youths?

Longford Town 1-2 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 23%, draw 29%, Wexford Youths 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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