Treaty United 1-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.37/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kerry
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.06.2024 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
12.04.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
01.03.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
25.08.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
07.07.2023 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-2 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
28.04.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 4-0 HT 3-0 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
1-1
AWAY Kerry
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United and Kerry couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Treaty United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Treaty United had 47% of the ball to Kerry's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Treaty United and 0.83 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Kerry?

Treaty United 1-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 41%, draw 28%, Kerry 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Treaty United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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