Longford Town 1-0 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
8%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.10/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.09
-14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.04.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
25.03.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
14.10.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
07.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-4 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
22.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
1-0
AWAY Bray Wanderers
50% Ball Possession 50%
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town edged past Bray Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bray Wanderers at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Longford Town had 50% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 50%, shots finished 1-0.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Longford Town and 1.50 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Longford Town 1-0 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 23%, draw 22%, Bray Wanderers 55%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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