Athlone Town 1-4 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
7%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.6pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
0.91/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.61
-43% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
14.10.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
07.08.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 4-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.05.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-4 HT 0-2 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
1-4
AWAY Finn Harps
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps ran out comfortable winners over Athlone Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Athlone Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 49% of the ball to Finn Harps's 51%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Athlone Town and 1.50 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Athlone Town 1-4 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 46%, draw 33%, Finn Harps 21%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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