Bray Wanderers 0-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.42/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.63
-28% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Longford Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
25.03.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
14.10.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
07.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-4 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
22.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
10.03.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town nicked a narrow win over Bray Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bray Wanderers at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town?

Bray Wanderers 0-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 54%, draw 25%, Longford Town 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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