Univ College Dublin 1-2 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2024

Univ College Dublin
1-2 HT 0-1
Athlone Town
📅04/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 31% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Univ College Dublin v Athlone Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.46/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.57
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Athlone Town
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.05.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
15.03.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
13.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 6-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.05.2021 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
26.03.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
09.10.2020 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-4 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town edged past Univ College Dublin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.33 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town?

Univ College Dublin 1-2 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 46%, draw 21%, Athlone Town 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin)
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