Finn Harps 1-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.37
6+ Goals
11%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.63/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.78
+6% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Longford Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
28.06.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
10.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-2 HT 2-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
17.02.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
25.08.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
09.06.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
1-1
AWAY Longford Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Longford Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Finn Harps had 58% of the ball to Longford Town's 42%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Finn Harps and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Longford Town?

Finn Harps 1-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 52%, draw 28%, Longford Town 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Finn Harps), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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