IR Reykjavik 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.7pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.29/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.65
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 7.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
18.05.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
13.05.2014 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-3 HT 1-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZK
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, IR Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IR Reykjavik and 0.67 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

IR Reykjavik 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a IR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 51%, draw 22%, Leiknir Reykjavik 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IR Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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