IR Reykjavik 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.15
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
13.05.2014 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-3 HT 1-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZK
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IR Reykjavik and 1.00 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

IR Reykjavik 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a IR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 50%, draw 21%, Leiknir Reykjavik 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IR Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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