Afturelding 1-3 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.07/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.76
-41% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +133%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Keflavik
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
02.03.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 5-0 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
22.08.2020 Afturelding Afturelding 2-2 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
15.02.2014 Keflavik Keflavik 3-1 HT 2-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik got the better of Afturelding 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Keflavik made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Keflavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Afturelding and 3.25 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Keflavik?

Afturelding 1-3 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 40%, draw 24%, Keflavik 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afturelding) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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