Shabab Al Sahel 1-2 Bourj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
51%
-16.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
23%
+14.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourj EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.76/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.33
+72% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +119%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Sahel
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bourj
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.05.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 0-2 HT 0-0 Bourj LUBN
08.03.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 3-0 HT 2-0 Bourj LUBN
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj edged past Shabab Al Sahel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bourj found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shabab Al Sahel and 1.00 for Bourj.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj?

Shabab Al Sahel 1-2 Bourj in the Lebanon - Premier League on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bourj win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Sahel 34%, draw 29%, Bourj 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourj) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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