Shabab Al Sahel 0-2 Bourj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourj EU Bookmakers 32%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.48
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Sahel
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bourj
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.03.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 3-0 HT 2-0 Bourj LUBN
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj got the better of Shabab Al Sahel 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Al Sahel at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj?

Shabab Al Sahel 0-2 Bourj in the Lebanon - Premier League on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Sahel 43%, draw 26%, Bourj 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
14 May 2025
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