Torque vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torque v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Torque vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Torque
URUK
1-2
HT 1-2
Progreso
URUK
1-0
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
1-4
HT 1-2
Torque
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Torque
URU
Torque 3-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Torque beat Progreso 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torque as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Torque had 53% of the ball to Progreso's 47%, shots finished 10-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Torque and 1.17 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Torque vs Progreso?
Torque 3-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torque vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torque 44%, draw 27%, Progreso 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.