Torque vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torque v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Torque vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Torque
URUK
1-2
HT 1-2
Progreso
URUK
1-0
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
1-4
HT 1-2
Torque
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Torque
URU
1-3
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
Torque 2-3 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso squeezed past Torque 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Torque at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Torque had 54% of the ball to Progreso's 46%, shots finished 7-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torque and 1.17 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Torque vs Progreso?
Torque 2-3 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torque vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Torque 43%, draw 27%, Progreso 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.