Torque vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Torque v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Torque vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Torque 2-3 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso squeezed past Torque 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
We leaned Torque at 52% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 54% to 46% in Torque's favour, shots finished 7-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Torque against 1.17 for Progreso.
Torque vs Progreso Result & Final Score
Torque 2 - 3 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Torque vs Progreso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Torque 52%, draw 26%, Progreso 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torque), Under 2.5 went the other way.