Juventud 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 40%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.30/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.03
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
20.10.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
1-0
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud squeezed past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Juventud made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Juventud had 41% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 59%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Juventud vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Juventud 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juventud 35%, draw 28%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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