Quilmes 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
16%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.5pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
16%
Away Win
23%
-6.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.48/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.91
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.06.2025 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
08.02.2025 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes squeezed past Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Y Tiro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Quilmes and 1.50 for Gimnasia Y Tiro.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Quilmes 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 50%, draw 35%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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