ABD 4-1 Paraguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 13 Jun 2026

ABD
4-1 HT 3-0
Paraguay
📅13/06/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup – 2026

ABD vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.39
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.1
X/1
12%
4.44
X/2
10%
7.4
X/X
16%
3.92
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
11%
6.21
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-48% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +72%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

ABD vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Paraguay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.11 xG 0.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
430 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.11.2025 ABD ABD 2-1 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
28.03.2018 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
30.03.2011 ABD ABD 0-1 HT 0-1 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
03.07.2007 ABD ABD 1-3 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay AKU

ABD 4-1 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
4-1
AWAY Paraguay
1.42 xG 0.53
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
509 Passes 232
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
54 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH ABD vs Paraguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD cruised past Paraguay 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ABD as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD had 65% of the ball to Paraguay's 35%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ABD and 1.25 for Paraguay.

What was the final score of ABD vs Paraguay?

ABD 4-1 Paraguay in the World Cup on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Paraguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ABD 44%, draw 28%, Paraguay 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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