ABD 2-1 Paraguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Nov 2025

ABD
2-1 HT 1-1
Paraguay
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

ABD vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.66
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.0pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -21%
1.37/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.33
-51% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
14.5 Crosses 11.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

ABD vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Paraguay
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
376 Passes 357
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
28.03.2018 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
30.03.2011 ABD ABD 0-1 HT 0-1 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
03.07.2007 ABD ABD 1-3 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay AKU

ABD 2-1 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
2-1
AWAY Paraguay
1.11 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
484 Passes 353
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ABD vs Paraguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD nicked a narrow win over Paraguay 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; ABD found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD had 56% of the ball to Paraguay's 44%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.11 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paraguay led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ABD and 1.33 for Paraguay.

What was the final score of ABD vs Paraguay?

ABD 2-1 Paraguay in the Friendlies on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Paraguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split ABD 36%, draw 35%, Paraguay 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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