Kolombiya 2-1 Yeni Zelanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Nov 2025

Kolombiya
2-1 HT 1-0
Yeni Zelanda
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Kolombiya vs Yeni Zelanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.18
Over 2.5
40%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
2.89
6+ Goals
9%
8.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 34% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
79%
-8.7pp
19%
Draw
15%
+3.4pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
42%
+17.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
58%
-17.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.8pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kolombiya v Yeni Zelanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.02/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.26
+29% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +71%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
479 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 75%
37.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
17.2 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kolombiya 2-1 Yeni Zelanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya
2-1
AWAY Yeni Zelanda
1.90 xG 0.78
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
497 Passes 233
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kolombiya vs Yeni Zelanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya edged past Yeni Zelanda 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kolombiya as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kolombiya had 64% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda's 36%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.90 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Kolombiya vs Yeni Zelanda?

Kolombiya 2-1 Yeni Zelanda in the Friendlies on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya vs Yeni Zelanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 70%, draw 19%, Yeni Zelanda 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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