IK Sirius 3-1 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 13 Jul 2024

IK Sirius
3-1 HT 1-0
GAIS
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IK Sirius vs GAIS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 26% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.83
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
18%
4.96
X/2
11%
7.02
X/X
14%
5.21
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
14%
4.6
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v GAIS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.93/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.47
+32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.5 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 5.0

IK Sirius vs GAIS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-2D-2L
AWAY GAIS
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
The Meetings
29.08.2016 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
11.06.2016 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
01.11.2015 GAIS GAIS 2-3 HT 2-3 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
11.05.2015 IK Sirius IK Sirius 5-0 HT 3-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
15.09.2014 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
12.05.2014 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2

IK Sirius 3-1 GAIS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
3-1
AWAY GAIS
1.71 xG 1.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
410 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 41
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius got the better of GAIS 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had IK Sirius as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IK Sirius had 59% of the ball to GAIS's 41%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.71 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IK Sirius and 0.67 for GAIS.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs GAIS?

IK Sirius 3-1 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 46%, draw 25%, GAIS 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
13 Jul 2024
16:00 Mjallby vs Malmö FF Analysis →