Mjallby 2-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 13 Jul 2024

Mjallby
2-1 HT 1-0
Malmö FF
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Mjallby vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjallby v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 59%
+12% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.12/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.01
-14% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
20.5 Crosses 21.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Mjallby vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 1.93
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
203 Passes 456
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
09.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
21.08.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.05.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.10.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
24.07.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 0-2 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ

Mjallby 2-1 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
2-1
AWAY Malmö FF
1.67 xG 1.36
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 15
221 Passes 511
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 60
7 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby edged past Malmö FF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mjallby had 32% of the ball to Malmö FF's 68%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 1.67 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mjallby and 1.00 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Malmö FF?

Mjallby 2-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 32%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
13 Jul 2024
18:30 IK Sirius vs GAIS Analysis →