Queensland Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queensland Lions v Moreton City Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
Queensland Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Moreton City Excelsior squeezed past Queensland Lions 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Queensland Lions at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%) came in.
What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Queensland Lions 1-2 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 55%, draw 24%, Moreton City Excelsior 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions) went the other way.