Moreton City Excelsior 2-4 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 52%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.18
+108% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.9
Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions saw off Moreton City Excelsior 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Queensland Lions?

Moreton City Excelsior 2-4 Queensland Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 28%, draw 26%, Queensland Lions 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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