Cruzeiro 2-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Jul 2024

Cruzeiro
2-1 HT 1-0
Bragantino
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cruzeiro vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.89
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
20%
4.45
X/2
10%
6.96
X/X
9%
4.23
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.41
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruzeiro v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.62/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.28
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.6 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Cruzeiro vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bragantino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.63 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
302 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.09.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
30.04.2023 Bragantino 0-3 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro edged past Bragantino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.00 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Bragantino?

Cruzeiro 2-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 46%, draw 24%, Bragantino 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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