Juventude 1-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 36% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 49%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.09/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.48
+128% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
232 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
21.3 Crosses 20.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Internacional
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
328 Passes 374
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.07.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
22.01.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRG1
30.08.2022 Internacional Internacional 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
09.05.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
26.01.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRG1
11.11.2021 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-1
AWAY Internacional
0.53 xG 2.19
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
161 Passes 378
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude and Internacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Juventude had 35% of the ball to Internacional's 65%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.53 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventude and 1.83 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Internacional?

Juventude 1-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Cup on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventude 31%, draw 28%, Internacional 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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