SJK Akatemia 3-0 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.88/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.56
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
2W-1D-2L
AWAY PK-35 ry
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
23.03.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
08.10.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 3-4 HT 1-3 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINY
06.07.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-0 HT 2-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
11.05.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 4-1 HT 2-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Akatemia
3-0
AWAY PK-35 ry
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia swept aside PK-35 ry 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SJK Akatemia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SJK Akatemia had 60% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 40%, shots finished 20-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.80 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 ry?

SJK Akatemia 3-0 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 44%, draw 29%, PK-35 ry 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Akatemia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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