Cavalry vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cavalry v York United — Team-Based Signals
Cavalry vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Cavalry
CAPL
2-1
HT 1-0
York United
CAPL
2-1
HT 0-0
York United
KAPL
1-0
HT 1-0
Cavalry
KAPL
1-0
HT 0-0
York United
KAPL
Cavalry 1-2 York United — Actual Match Statistics
York United edged past Cavalry 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cavalry had 58% of the ball to York United's 42%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.59 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cavalry and 0.83 for York United.
What was the final score of Cavalry vs York United?
Cavalry 1-2 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cavalry vs York United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 45%, draw 27%, York United 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.