National Bank of Egypt 1-2 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 34% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.03/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.90
+24% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.0 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Smouha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
19.02.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
25.10.2022 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
17.07.2022 Smouha Smouha 0-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
10.02.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
26.05.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1-2
AWAY Smouha
0.67 xG 0.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
343 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha nicked a narrow win over National Bank of Egypt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Smouha made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 56% of the ball to Smouha's 44%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 1.33 for Smouha.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs Smouha?

National Bank of Egypt 1-2 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 36%, draw 29%, Smouha 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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