Lysekloster 1-0 Orn Horten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.4pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 20%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
4.50/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.85
+104% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
506 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lysekloster
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Orn Horten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.06.2024 Orn Horten Orn Horten 0-2 HT 0-1 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lysekloster
1-0
AWAY Orn Horten
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lysekloster vs Orn Horten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lysekloster squeezed past Orn Horten 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lysekloster as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lysekloster had 56% of the ball to Orn Horten's 44%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Lysekloster vs Orn Horten?

Lysekloster 1-0 Orn Horten in the Norway - 2nd Division on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lysekloster vs Orn Horten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lysekloster win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lysekloster 54%, draw 26%, Orn Horten 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lysekloster) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lysekloster) ✗ Over 2.5
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